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Blood, 1 August 2002, Vol. 100, No. 3, pp. 786-790
CLINICAL OBSERVATIONS, INTERVENTIONS, AND THERAPEUTIC TRIALS
Risk factors for evolution of acquired aplastic anemia into
myelodysplastic syndrome and acute myeloid leukemia after
immunosuppressive therapy in children
Seiji Kojima,
Akira Ohara,
Masahiro Tsuchida,
Toru Kudoh,
Ryoji Hanada,
Yuri Okimoto,
Takashi Kaneko,
Toshikuni Takano,
Koichiro Ikuta, and
Ichiro Tsukimoto for the Japan Childhood Aplastic
Anemia Study Group
From the multicenter collaborative study group, Japan Childhood
Aplastic Anemia Study Group.
Long-term survivors of acquired aplastic anemia (AA) have an
increased risk of developing myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) after immunosuppressive therapy (IST). It
is uncertain whether the increased survival time simply discloses the
natural history of AA as a premalignant disease or whether secondary
disease is related to the therapy itself. Between November 1992 and
September 1997, 113 AA children with normal cytogenetics at diagnosis
were treated with IST using antithymocyte globulin, cyclosporin, and
danazol with or without granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF).
We assessed risk factors for developing MDS/AML by Cox proportional
hazards models. Twelve of 113 patients developed MDS between 9 and 81 months following the time of diagnosis, giving a cumulative incidence
of 13.7 ± 3.9%. The following cytogenetic abnormalities were
observed at the time of diagnosis of MDS: monosomy 7 (6 patients),
monosomy7/trisomy21 (1 patient), trisomy 11 (1 patient), del (11)
(9?:14) (1 patient), add (9q) (1 patient), add 7 (q 32) (1 patient),
and trisomy 9 (1 patient). The number of days of G-CSF therapy and
nonresponse to therapy at 6 months were statistically significant risk
factors by multivariate analysis. The present study suggests a close
relationship between long-term use of G-CSF and secondary MDS in
nonresponders to IST.

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