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Blood, 15 January 2008, Vol. 111, No. 2, pp. 785-789. Prepublished online as a Blood First Edition Paper on October 17, 2007; DOI 10.1182/blood-2007-08-108357.
NEOPLASIA Immunoglobulin free light chain ratio is an independent risk factor for progression of smoldering (asymptomatic) multiple myeloma1 Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Hematology; 2 Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology; 3 Department of Health Sciences Research, Division of Biostatistics; 4 Department of Health Sciences Research, Division of Epidemiology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN; 5 Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Scottsdale, AZ; and 6 Department of Immunology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN
We hypothesized that increased monoclonal free kappa or lambda immunoglobulin light chains in smoldering multiple myeloma (SMM), as detected by the serum free light chain (FLC) assay, indicates an increased risk of progression to active myeloma. Baseline serum samples obtained within 30 days of diagnosis were available in 273 patients with SMM seen from 1970 to 1995. At a median follow-up of surviving patients of 12.4 years, transformation to active disease has occurred in 59%. The best breakpoint for predicting risk of progression was an FLC ratio of 0.125 or less, or 8 or more (hazard ratio, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.6-3.2). The extent of abnormality of FLC ratio was independent of SMM risk categories defined by number of bone marrow plasma cells (BMPCs) and size of serum M proteins (BMPC
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