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Prognostic staging in myeloma: in search of biologyFor 30 years, clinicians relied on the Durie-Salmon staging system (Durie and Salmon, Cancer. 1975;36:842-854) to define risk in multiple myeloma (MM). In recent years the 2-microglobulin ( 2M) and C-reactive protein (CRP) have added to the prognostic arsenal (Bataille et al, Blood. 1992;80:733-737). Despite their longevity, both staging systems are limited by an inability to segregate risk accurately in all cases, a particular problem in such a heterogeneous disease. Indeed, until recently prognostic prediction has been something of an irrelevance since all patients with symptomatic disease received essentially the same therapy. Lately, however, the landscape has changed and identification of accurate prognostic biomarkers has assumed increasing importance since therapeutic options may now vary widely according to disease biology.
In this issue, Terpos and colleagues (page 1064) take a step in this direction by examining the roles of the receptor activator of nuclear factor
Predicting prognosis and defining therapy using novel biomarkers (as described herein), chromosome translocation status and gene expression profiles point the way to the future of MM care, but all require further study. Until confirmed in large prospective studies, user-friendly and sensitive prognostic tools such as the recently devised MM International Staging System (ISS), which employs
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