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Blood, Vol. 95 No. 3 (February 1), 2000:
pp. 790-794
CLINICAL OBSERVATIONS, INTERVENTIONS, AND THERAPEUTIC TRIALS
From the Children's Cancer Research Institute and St. Anna
Kinderspital, and the Institute of Blood Group Serology, University of
Vienna, Vienna, Austria.
Early response to therapy is an independent prognostic factor in
childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Although most patients have
rapid early responses, as detected by morphology, 15% to 20% of
patients have relapses. The authors evaluated residual disease by
molecular methods on day 15 of minimal residual disease (MRD) therapy
and compared these data with their recently established MRD-based risk
stratification, defined by MRD levels 5 weeks after induction treatment
and before consolidation. All 68 children treated according to current
Berlin-Frankfurt-Münster (BFM) protocols went into
morphologically complete remission after induction. There was a
significant difference in outcome between children with rapid disease
clearance and those with high levels of day-15 MRD
(P = .035). Among patients with high levels of day-15 MRD, only the MRD-based risk stratification was predictive of the outcome. All patients with negative or low day-15 MRD had excellent prognoses and were in the MRD-based low-risk group. Thus, after only 2 weeks of
treatment, the authors were able to identify a patient population of 20% who may benefit from the least intensive treatment.
(Blood. 2000;95:790-794)
Current treatment strategies use clinical and biologic
features at the time of diagnosis for risk-adapted therapy in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL), resulting in overall relapse-free survival rates of approximately 75%.1 Early response to
chemotherapy was found to add to the definition of a patient's
individual risk.2 Early response has been measured by
morphologic evaluation of blasts in peripheral blood after 1 week of
prednisone therapy and of multiagent chemotherapy.3,4 An
adverse prognosis was preceded by a slow response. However, even 20%
of patients with rapid early responses to either of those treatments
undergo relapse.3,4 In another approach, bone marrow rating
after 1 or 2 weeks of therapy was investigated for its predictive
value. Again, patients with high blast cell counts were at higher risk
for relapse than were patients with counts smaller than 5%. Relapses,
however, primarily occur in the latter group, to which most patients
belong.2 Molecular evaluation has shown that the amount of
residual disease a patient has at the time of conventional morphologic
remission and after treatment with induction chemotherapy is of
prognostic significance.5-8 By using 2 time points We previously observed that some patients undergo very rapid clearance
of residual disease, as evaluated by antigen-receptor gene
rearrangements (E.R.P.-G., unpublished data). Therefore, we sought to
gain information in a larger group of patients on the relationship
between residual disease detected by morphologic marrow rating and
molecular analysis on day-15 MRD with the MRD-based risk groups. We
hypothesized that by day-15 MRD, a subgroup of patients with less than
5% blasts in the bone marrow on day 15 could be identified as part of
the MRD-based low-risk group.
Patient selection
Treatment protocol
Evaluation of response to chemotherapy
Bone marrow smears by light microscopy.
Bone marrow aspirates were analyzed by cytomorphologic criteria and
were rated M1, M2, and M3 based on the percentage of blasts (less than
5%, 5% to 25%, and more than 25%, respectively). The rating was
performed centrally.
Bone marrow mononuclear cells by MRD analysis.
After the identification of leukemia clone-specific antigen receptor
gene rearrangements (IgH, Ig Statistical analysis
Clinical course of the disease Based on their symptoms and their responses to prednisone therapy, children were stratified for treatment according to BFM risk groups (Table 1). Sixteen children were in SRG, 40 were in MRG, and 12 were in HRG (Tables 1 and 2). All 68 children enrolled in this study went into morphologic remission after induction chemotherapy. Currently, the median observation time is 5 years 6 months (range, 1 year 7 months to 8 years 11 months). Sixteen patients had relapses. Fourteen patients had isolated relapses in the bone marrow; 1 was in the SRG, 6 were in the MRG, and 7 were in the HRG. One SRG patient suffered a combined central nervous system/bone marrow relapse and 1 HRG patient had an isolated relapse in the testis. The probability for RFS at 5 years for SRG, MRG, and HRG was 88.8%, 84.6%, and 28.14%, respectively. Log-rank tests for BFM risk group stratification showed no differences between SRG and MRG in RFS but a significant difference in RFS between these 2 groups and HRG (P < .001, Figure 1). Relative risk for relapse of HRG and MRG patients compared with SRG patients was 8.9 (95% CI, 1.8-42.4) and 1.2 (95% CI, 0.3-6.1), respectively, and of HRG patients compared with MRG patients it was 7.2 (95% CI, 2.5-20.8).
Day-15 marrow blasts and day-15 MRD analysis Overall, and in line with previous reports,2 the predictive value of marrow rating on day 15 on RFS was significant (P < .001, Figure 2). A higher rating (M2 and M3) was associated with an increased incidence of relapse. However, even an M1 rating was found in patients who later had relapses (Table 2). The relative risk for relapse of patients with M3 and M2 compared to M1 was 12.8 (95% CI, 3.8-43.2) and 2.0 (95% CI, 0.5-7.9), respectively, and of patients with M3 compared to M2 it was 6.5 (95% CI, 3.8-21.7). As was already assumed from the BFM risk group stratification, a higher rating was seen in HRG patients. No patient in the BFM HRG had an M1 rating, whereas several had M3 ratings. Although M2 and M3 ratings did not discriminate between children in the BFM HRG who had relapses and those who remained in continuous complete remission, day-15 M3 morphology was a prognostic parameter in the remaining patients. The trend for day-15 marrow rating as a prognostic factor occurred only after BFM risk group stratification (P = .072).
MRD-based risk group stratification
Comparison between BFM risk groups, morphologic and molecular
analysis on day 15, and MRD-based risk group stratification
By analyzing MRD in bone marrow on day 15, we were able to identify a group of patients who responded rapidly to chemotherapy and had excellent prognoses. This prediction of a good outcome was substantiated by the findings that these patients belonged to the MRD-based low-risk group, which was based on MRD levels at later time points.
We thank S. Fischer and R. Kornmüller for excellent technical assistance, U. Pötschger for statistical analysis, and O. A. Haas for providing the data on day-15 marrow rating and cytogenetic analysis. We also thank Drs B. Ausserer, F. M. Fink, R. Jones, G. Mann, G. Müller, I. Mutz, R. Ployer, N. Pobegen, K. Schmitt, and O. Stöllinger for providing bone marrow samples.
Submitted April 23, 1999; accepted September 27, 1999.
Supported in part by the Österreichische Kinderkrebshilfe and by private donations to the Children's Cancer Research Institute.
Reprints: E. Renate Panzer-Grümayer, Children's Cancer Research Institute/St. Anna Kinderspital, Kinderspitalg, 6 A-1090 Vienna, Austria; e-mail: panzer{at}ccri.univie.ac.at.
The publication costs of this article were defrayed in part by page charge payment. Therefore, and solely to indicate this fact, this article is hereby marked "advertisement" in accordance with 18 U.S.C. section 1734.
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