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Prepublished online as a Blood First Edition Paper on July 24, 2003; DOI 10.1182/blood-2003-03-0801.

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Submitted March 17, 2003
Accepted July 8, 2003

Long-term follow-up of IgM monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance

Robert A Kyle*, Terry M Therneau, S Vincent Rajkumar, Ellen D Remstein, Janice R Offord, Dirk R Larson, Matthew F Plevak, and L Joseph Melton

Division of Hematology and Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
Division of Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
Division of Anatomic Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
Division of Epidemiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA

* Corresponding author; email: kyle.robert{at}mayo.edu.

Little effort has been made to quantitate adverse outcomes of monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) of the IgM class, which progresses to lymphoma or Waldenstrom macroglobulinemia, whereas IgA and IgG MGUS progress to multiple myeloma, primary amyloidosis (AL), or a related plasma cell disorder. From 1960-1994, IgM MGUS was diagnosed in 213 patients in southeastern Minnesota. The end point was progression to lymphoma or a related disorder, as assessed with the Kaplan-Meier method. The 213 patients were followed for 1,567 person-years (median, 6.3 years per subject). Lymphoma developed in 17 patients (relative risk [RR], 14.8), Waldenstrom macroglobulinemia in 6 (RR, 262), primary amyloidosis in 3 (RR, 16.3), and chronic lymphocytic leukemia in 3 (RR, 5.7). The relative risk of progression was 16-fold higher in the patients with IgM MGUS than in the white population of the Iowa Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Cumulative incidence of progression was 10% at 5 years, 18% at 10 years, and 24% at 15 years. On multivariate analysis, the concentration of the serum monoclonal protein and level of serum albumin at diagnosis were the only risk factors for progression to lymphoma or a related disorder. Risk of progression to lymphoma or a related disorder at 10 years after the diagnosis of MGUS was 14% with an initial monoclonal protein value of 0.5 g/dL or less, 26% with 1.5 g/dL, 34% for 2.0 g/dL, and 41% for more than 2.5 g/dL.


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