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Blood, Vol. 92 No. 11 (December 1), 1998: pp. 4059-4065

Response at Three Months Is a Good Predictive Factor for Newly Diagnosed Chronic Myeloid Leukemia Patients Treated by Recombinant Interferon-alpha

F.X. Mahon, C. Fabères, S. Pueyo, P. Cony-Makhoul, R. Salmi, J.M. Boiron, G. Marit, C. Bilhou-Nabera, A. Carrère, M. Montastruc, A. Pigneux, Ph. Bernard, and J. Reiffers

From Service des Maladies du Sang, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Bordeaux, Hôpital Haut-Levêque, Pessac, France; and the Département d'Informatique Médicale, Université Victor Segalen, Bordeaux, France.

In a single institution, we have used recombinant interferon-alpha (IFN-alpha ) to treat 116 newly diagnosed Philadelphia-positive (Ph+) chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients and analyzed the predictive factors for response and survival. The patients whose median age was 50.3 years (range, 9 to 70) were administered IFN-alpha (5 million units/m2/d) subcutaneously. The IFN-alpha dose was subsequently adjusted to maintain the white blood cell and platelet counts between 1.5 and 5 × 109/L, 50 and 100 × 109/L, respectively. At diagnosis, the Sokal score was used to classify the patients into three groups: low (n = 57), intermediate (n = 42), and high risk (n = 16). A complete hematological response (CHR) was achieved in 93 cases (80.2%). Of the 116 patients, 113 were available for cytogenetic evaluation. Fifty patients (43%) achieved a major cytogenetic response (MCR) (=65% marrow Ph- cells), 37 of them having a complete cytogenetic response (CCR). The estimated 5-year survival of the 116 patients was 68% ± 11% (95% confidence interval [CI]) with a median follow-up of 42 months (range, 3 to 114) and 85% ± 11% (95% CI) with a median follow-up of 30.9 (range, 3 to 111) when patients were censored at the time of transplantation. Event-free survival at 5 years (adding death and transplant as event) was 46% ± 11% (95% CI). Using proportional hazards regression to study time-dependent variables, we confirmed that the most significant factor associated with survival was the cytogenetic response (MCR or CCR) (P < .0001). This factor was independent compared with the Sokal score and baseline variables used to calculate the Sokal score. Moreover, using either univariate or multivariate analysis, the achievement of CHR within 3 months was strongly correlated with MCR (P < .0001). Minimum cytogenetic response (mCR, ie, at least 5% of Ph- metaphases) at 3 months was also a significant predictive factor for MCR (P < .0001). These results show that IFN-alpha can induce a high rate of hematological and cytogenetic response when administered in doses leading to myelosuppression. Factors such as the achievement of CHR and mCR within 3 months could be useful to identify early those patients who will not respond to IFN-alpha and who need alternative treatments such as stem cell transplantation.


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