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Blood, 25 June 2009, Vol. 113, No. 26, pp. 6572-6575.
Prepublished online as a Blood First Edition Paper on April 23, 2009; DOI 10.1182/blood-2009-02-207803.
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Submitted February 26, 2009
Accepted April 6, 2009
Gene expression profiling of plasma cells at myeloma relapse from total therapy 2 predicts subsequent survival
Bijay Nair, John D. Shaughnessy Jr, Yiming Zhou, Marie Astrid-Cartron, Pingping Qu, Frits van Rhee, Elias Anaissie, Yazan Alsayed, Sarah Waheed, Klaus Hollmig, Jackie Szymonifka, Nathan Petty, Antje Hoering, and Bart Barlogie*
Myeloma Institute for Research and Therapy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, AR, United States
Cancer Research and Biostatistics, Seattle, WA, United States
* Corresponding author; email: barlogiebart{at}uams.edu.
We report on prognostic implications for post-relapse survival (PRS) of a gene expression profiling (GEP)-defined risk score at relapse available in 120 myeloma patients previously enrolled in Total Therapy 2. Among the 71 patients with additional GEP baseline information, 3-yr PRS was 71% in 40 patients with low-risk present both at baseline and relapse contrasting with only 17% in 28 patients with relapse high-risk, 12 of whom with baseline low-risk status fared better than the remainder (p=0.08). On multivariate analysis of relapse parameters available in 104 patients, high-risk conferred short PRS (HR=4.00, p<0.001, R2=33%) while relapse Hyperdiploidy predicted long PRS (HR=0.37, p=0.022, cumulative R2=41%). In case the initial partial response lasted less than 2 years, relapse low-risk identified 26 patients with superior 3-yr PRS of 61% v 9% among 32 with relapse high-risk (p<0.001). Based on its PRS predictive power, GEP analysis should be an integral part of new agent trials in search of better therapy for high-risk myeloma.

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